Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.864311 6.685497 7.590511 8.663582 9.903390 11.293408 12.973523
2025-06-15 4.921634 6.027590 7.344269 9.033912 11.154034 13.738453 17.146155
2025-06-22 4.241488 5.471428 7.020426 9.127480 11.939002 15.589196 20.732518
2025-06-29 3.704872 4.982380 6.665823 9.066784 12.435971 17.044051 23.907085
2025-07-06 3.278261 4.567394 6.333030 8.955726 12.799942 18.301832 26.905058
2025-07-13 3.056732 4.399017 6.303861 9.241809 13.726331 20.423475 31.388708
2025-07-20 2.849804 4.222528 6.233940 9.443999 14.528663 22.424502 35.914462
2025-07-27 2.710041 4.126574 6.265529 9.790987 15.574995 24.898126 41.491936
2025-08-03 2.460292 3.835232 5.965872 9.577062 15.685741 25.858757 44.629461
2025-08-10 2.261965 3.604838 5.737289 9.448483 15.911846 27.016796 48.229852
2025-08-17 2.090640 3.401619 5.531854 9.333058 16.138635 28.184605 51.972569
2025-08-24 1.932220 3.205357 5.319121 9.180619 16.276749 29.196115 55.529304
2025-08-31 1.778360 3.006239 5.088083 8.979723 16.316712 30.051171 58.938100
2025-09-07 1.733122 2.990609 5.172116 9.354253 17.464518 33.120847 67.219881
2025-09-14 1.648675 2.897997 5.110620 9.450402 18.084941 35.228081 73.781138
2025-09-21 1.549236 2.769899 4.973326 9.387273 18.380748 36.709745 79.184895
2025-09-28 1.451913 2.637849 4.817455 9.271939 18.555687 37.954789 84.222420
2025-10-05 1.415191 2.616240 4.867207 9.569021 19.613868 41.187229 94.301664
2025-10-12 1.370035 2.574689 4.874545 9.779004 20.506778 44.159379 104.198733
2025-10-19 1.344502 2.569068 4.951214 10.139400 21.764499 48.094671 117.068259
2025-10-26 1.258065 2.436210 4.762891 9.917203 21.693781 48.956502 122.231300
2025-11-02 1.187454 2.330234 4.621273 9.783661 21.811518 50.274929 128.787830
2025-11-09 1.123472 2.233322 4.491145 9.663785 21.948244 51.653109 135.713066